Selection Sunday Q & A with Bracket Expert Dave Ommen
As we approach tip off vs. Davidson in the A10 semi finals, we had the chance to ask a few more NCAA Selection Sunday questions to Dave Ommen who runs Bracketville.com.
Bracketville is the #1 ranked bracket projection website on the internet according to BracketMatrix.com. Dave does a fantastic job in predicting how the committee will decide on Sunday and so we wanted to reach out and get his thoughts, in addition to talking with both CBS’ Jerry Palm and ESPN’s Joe Lunardi these past few days.
We thank Dave for his time as we are just 24 plus hours away from Selection Sunday!
Heading into today’s game with Davidson, how comfortable should the Bonnies be in terms of having a spot in the field of 68?
There are no guarantees, obviously, but if the Selection Committee accounts for the early absence of Jaylen Adams, the Bonnies have performed well enough over the course of the season to be a solid at-large candidate. Reaching the A-10 title game would ease lingering concerns for two reasons. One, it would add another Quadrant 2 win to St. Bonaventure’s resume; second, it would also eliminate the potential for Davidson to secure an automatic bid if the Wildcats were to beat Rhode Island. In that case, the bubble would tighten further. With a 9-3 mark against Groups 1/2, it appears the Bonnies start the day ahead of some other bubble teams. Although not an official statistic, a long winning streak is a plus.
Should SBU lose to Davidson how much could it impact their seeding/at large chances? What about a win over the Wildcats?
A loss (or win) requires the Committee to evaluate St. Bonaventure based upon its resume. With a loss, that resume would be complete. At that point, their final resume would be compared against other Seed List teams – or if still under consideration – against teams still under consideration. Until all results are completed, it’s hard to say exactly how a loss would impact selection or seeding, but it could easily be worth a line or two come Sunday.
You currently have the Bonnies as a an eight seed. What do you believe is the lowest/highest you could see them being placed tomorrow? (Ceiling being SBU wins today and wins Sunday in the A10 Title game)
With help, beating Rhode Island again could allow SBU to reach the seven line. If URI were to lose, it would impact St. Bonaventure’s potential seeding, too, as the title game would be against a lesser opponent. There’s still some fluctuation in the middle of the bracket in terms of final seeding. At the time of this posting, I would think a 10 seed or 11 seed could still be in play if SBU were compared against say the resumes of Butler and/or Creighton.
You’re one of the few sites that has Bonaventure and URI on the same line. Why do you think so many sites having Rhode Island a line or two higher given their very comparative resumes?
This morning that was more a function of other results and the Bonnies having not played since more results came in last night. The biggest difference is URI’s win over Seton Hall and one less Quad 3 loss; but again there will be some allowance for Adams’ early absence (or should be). I doubt that both end up on the same line unless SBU were to win the title and URI holds its spot.