One of my favorite sites to use for all college basketball stats, KenPom.com, gives a statistical breakdown of each team’s chances of winning each round in Brooklyn…you know, as told by a computer via some fancy algorithm. The computer likes the Bonnies to beat St. Joe’s (59% of winning) but only a 16% chance of beating Dayton in the next round. We’ll see what happens but these things always interest me. Davidson is the likely champ and could meet Dayton in the final should SBU not knock them off. Poor St. Louis with a .002 chance of winning it all…just a year ago SLU was the number one seed in this tournament. It’s stunning how bad they were this year given where they were a year ago. I can’t see them being much better next year, maybe something like the 11 seed. And what about Davidson? Picked to finish 12th in the league Bob McKillop’s team won the whole damm league and did so without one of their best players, Jack Gibbs, for a lot of the season. What an incredible job and what a great addition to the league.

Rd1             Qtrs  Semis  Final Champ
 1 Davidson     100   100  80.5  49.3  32.0
 2 Dayton       100   100  75.8  45.5  21.6
 5 VCU          100  85.0  47.2  23.0  13.3
 3 Rhode Island 100   100  60.0  29.5  11.9
 4 Richmond     100   100  50.1  21.8  11.5
 6 Geo. Wash.   100  80.8  36.6  16.4   5.9
 7 St. Bona.    100  59.3  16.0   5.7   1.5
 9 La Salle     100  55.7  11.7   3.5   1.2
 8 UMass        100  44.3   7.8   2.0   0.6
10 St. Joseph's 100  40.7   8.2   2.3   0.4
11 Duquesne    71.2  16.1   3.2   0.6   0.09
12 Fordham     57.1   9.5   1.9   0.3   0.07
13 Geo. Mason  42.9   5.6   0.9   0.1   0.02
14 St. Louis   28.8   3.1   0.3   0.03  0.002